Top Ten Global Energy Trends in 2011


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GBI Research

$ 1000

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GBI Researchs new report, Top Ten Global Energy Trends in 2011 analysis the global energy industry in the current scenario and provides an outlook for 2011. The report covers the analysis and key statistics on the crude oil, natural gas, refining, unconventional oil and gas sector, power and other related sectors. 

The report has global geographical scope. It also covers the impact of the GOM oil spill on the oil and gas industry. The report analyses the rise of the unconventional oil and gas sector. It also covers the alternative fuels industry such as biofuels and also the clean technology industry. This report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research and in-house analysis by GBI Research's team of industry experts.

In 2009, global energy consumption was at 11.05 Btoe (billion tonnes of oil equivalent), which was a decrease of 2.2% from 11.3 Btoe in 2008. The global financial crisis, followed by the global economic slowdown, resulted in a decreased demand for products. This had a negative impact on energy consumption toward the end of 2008 which continued throughout 2009. The developed economies were the most affected by the economic slowdown, explaining the decline in energy consumption in these countries. 

However, the high economic growth in the emerging economies, such as India and China, sustained the demand for energy in 2009. After the 2009 slump, the global economies recovered, thereby increasing energy consumption in 2010. The total global energy consumption was about 11.26 Btoe in 2010 with a growth rate of 1.9% from 2009.

Scope

The report analyses market opportunities and challenges in the global pipeline industry. Its scope includes - 

  • Key geographies including Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa, North America and South and Central America.
  • Qualitative analysis of key success factors and trends in the global energy industry including oil and gas, refining, power and related sectors
  • Key statistics on global energy consumption, global capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry by sub sector and company type, refining capacity, biofuel market, etc. to 2011
  • Global oil and gas and biofuel market merger and acquisition and deal analysis by deal type is included
  • Effect of the US Gulf of Mexico oil spill on the oil and gas industry
  • Success of the unconventional oil and gas sector and the outlook for 2011 is analysed
  • Effect of the delay in implementation of the carbon emission laws on the renewable energy sector in analysed

Reasons to buy

The report will enhance your decision making capability in a more rapid and time sensitive manner. It will allow you to - 

  • Develop business strategies with the help of specific insights about the global energy industry
  • Identify opportunities and challenges in the global energy industry.
  • Increase future revenues and profitability with the help of insights into the future opportunities and critical success factors in the global energy industry.
  • Make more informed business decisions from the insightful and in-depth analysis of the global energy industry and the factors shaping it
Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 4
1.1 List of Tables 7
1.2 List of Figures 8

2 Top Ten Global Energy Trends In 2011 9

2.1 Report Guidance 9

3 Global Total Energy Consumption Gaining Recovery In 2011 10
3.1 Global Energy Consumption Gaining Recovery In 2011 10
3.2 Global Energy Mix 2011 12
3.3 Global Economic Overview 13
3.4 Key Factors Affecting the Global Energy Consumption 14
3.4.1 Policies and Technological Advancement Will Drive the Growth of Renewable Energy Thereby Increasing Its Share 14
3.4.2 Stable Commodity Prices and Availability of Supplies Will Play a Crucial Role in Energy Consumption 14

4 Global Energy Spending Set to Accelerate in 2011 15
4.1 Exploration and Production Capital Expenditure to Lead the Growth In 2011 16
4.2 Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa Will Be the Key Growth Regions In 2011 18
4.3 National Oil Companies Will Continue to Drive Oil and Gas Investment in 2011 20
4.4 Key Factors Affecting the Capex In 2011 22
4.4.1 Global Economic Recovery and Stability in Crude Oil Price Will Be a Key Factor in the Spending Growth 22
4.4.2 Global Offshore Drilling Spend Continues to Increase In 2011 22
4.4.3 Major Discoveries Along With Future Planned Projects Will Boost Spending 22

5 High Environmental Safety Concerns in the Aftermath of the US GOM Oil Spill Will Lead to Tighter Offshore Oil and Gas Regulations and Increased Costs 24
5.1 The US Gulf of Mexico Oil Spill Disaster One of the Worst in History 24
5.2 Effects of the Spill on the Offshore Oil and Gas Industry 28
5.3 Aftermath of the Spill Leading To Tighter Regulations and Standards 29
5.4 Moratorium on Offshore Drilling 30
5.5 Impact of the Spill on Offshore Costs 30

6 Global Corporate M&A and Asset Transactions in the Oil and Gas Sector Are Likely to Witness a Rise in 2011 32
6.1 Global Oil and Gas Deal Activity in 2010 33
6.2 Top 10 Deals, 2010, by Deal Value 34
6.3 Total Upstream Sector Deal Activity in 2010 36
6.4 Upstream Deal Activity, by Geography 38
6.5 Total Downstream Sector Deal Activity in 2010 41
6.6 Downstream Deal Activity, by Geography 43

7 Success of the Unconventional Oil and Gas Sector in North America Will Increase the Interest in Other Regions, but Oversupply Concerns Remain 46
7.1 North America Leading the Way in the Unconventional Oil and Gas Sector 46
7.2 Success in North America is Likely to Increase the Attractiveness of Unconventional Resources in Other Regions 46
7.3 Key Factors Affecting the Development of Unconventional Resources 48
7.3.1 Higher Drilling Costs Might Delay the Shale Gas Development in Europe 48
7.3.2 Environmental Impact is a Serious Concern for the Industry 48
7.3.3 Excess Supply of Natural Gas Might Act as a Deterrent for the Industry 50
7.3.4 Stable Oil and Gas Prices Will Be a Critical Factor in the Growth of the Industry 51

8 Delay in the Implementation of Carbon Emission Laws May Hamper the Growth of Renewables 52
8.1 Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions 53
8.2 Carbon Emissions from Thermal Power Plants 56
8.3 Carbon Laws Are Getting Delayed Across the Globe 57
8.3.1 No Concrete Measures Taken Under Copenhagen and Bonn Summits for UN Nations 57
8.4 Climate Bills Being Delayed 59
8.4.1 The US Climate Bill Delayed 59
8.4.2 Australias CPRS Delayed Until 2012 60
8.4.3 Japans Climate Bill Delayed in 2010 60
8.5 Renewable Energy, An Overview 61
8.6 Renewable Energy Policies 61
8.7 Impact of Delay in Realization of Carbon Laws Pose a Threat for Potential Growth of Renewables 62

9 Deregulation of Utilities and Open Access to Electricity Distribution, Key for Power Industry Growth in 2011 63
9.1 Regulation Traditional Scenario 63
9.2 Deregulation A Historical Perspective 64
9.3 Economies Move towards Electricity Deregulation 64
9.4 Need for Deregulation 65
9.5 Impact of Deregulation on Services and Programs 65
9.6 Open Access Electricity Distribution Opens Road for Competitive Market 66
9.7 Communal and Deliberative Measures Required for Reforms in Deregulated Electricity Market 66

10 AsiaPacific and Middle East and Africa Will Continue to Lead the Refining Industry Recovery in 2011 67
10.1 With Recovering Product Demand and Refining Margins Global Refining Industry is on a Course of Revival 68
10.2 Refining Capacity is Continuing to Increase Globally 70
10.3 AsiaPacific, the Middle East and Africa Leading the Growth in Global Refining Capacity 77
10.4 Key Issues in the Global Refining Industry 78
10.4.1 Stringent Environmental Regulations, a Major Factor Affecting the Refining Industry 78
10.4.2 Heavy Crude Oil and the Demand for Light Petroleum Products Add to the Costs 78
10.4.3 Changing Product Dynamics, a Key Determinant in the Global Refining Industry 78
10.4.4 Gross Refining Margins 79

11 Bio-Fuels Continue to Grow as an Alternative Fuel Option Driven by Regulations and Energy Security Concerns 80
11.1 Renewable Fuel Standards and Mandatory Blending Targets are the Key Driving Factors 80
11.2 Global Bio-fuel Market, Deals 85
11.3 Global Bio-fuel Production to Grow in 2011 86
11.4 Sustainability and Availability of Usable Land Will Be a Crucial Challenge to Surpass 87

12 Rising Energy Demand and Increasing Focus on Energy Efficiency Asserts Attractiveness of Clean Technology 88
12.1 Incentives and a Minimum Level of Standards Are Key Drivers for the Green Building Sector 88
12.2 Policies Instrumental to Support Future Smart Grid Developments 89
12.2.1 Global Smart Grid Deployment Status 89
12.2.2 Smart Grid Standards 90
12.3 Waste to Energy Emerging as a Major Industry in Managing Waste and a Way of Clean Energy Along with Providing High Returns 92
12.3.1 Improved Emission Controls and Eligibility for Tax Incentives and Carbon Credits Driving the Industry Growth 92
12.3.2 Landfill Legislations 92

13 Appendix 93
13.1 Methodology 93
13.1.1 Coverage 93
13.1.2 Secondary Research 93
13.1.3 Primary Research 93
13.1.4 Expert Panel Validation 94
13.2 Abbreviations 94
13.3 Contact Us 94
13.4 About GBI Research 95
13.5 Disclaimer 95
Table 1: Global Energy Consumption (Mtoe), by Region, 20062011 11
Table 2: Global Energy Consumption (Mtoe), by Fuel Type, 20062011 12
Table 3: GDP Growth Rate, %, Global and Major Countries, 20082011 13
Table 4: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure, 20062011 16
Table 5: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Sub-Sector , 20062011 17
Table 6: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Region, 20062011 19
Table 7: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Company Type, 20062011 21
Table 8: The US, Major Historical Oil Spills 26
Table 9: Largest Oil Well Blowouts, by Volume as of September 6, 2010 27
Table 10: The US Gulf of Mexico, Oil Reserves, Million Barrels, 20052008 31
Table 11: Global Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 33
Table 12: Top Ten Oil and Gas Deals, 2010, by Deal Value ($bn) 35
Table 13: Global Upstream Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 37
Table 14: Global Upstream Oil and Gas, Deal Value by Geography, ($bn), Q1 2008Q4 2010 39
Table 15: Global Upstream Oil and Gas, Deal Activity by Geography, Q1 2008Q4 2010 40
Table 16: Global Downstream Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 42
Table 17: Global Downstream Oil and Gas, Deal Value by Geography, ($bn), Q1 2008Q4 2010 44
Table 18: Global Downstream Oil and Gas, Deal Activity by Geography, Q1 2008Q4 2010 45
Table 19: Global Carbon Emissions from Consumption of Energy, 2008 53
Table 20: Global, Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Countries, Billion Tonnes, 20072025 54
Table 21: Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Coal Plants, (Billion Tonnes), 20082020 56
Table 22: Global Countries Engagement Under Copenhagen Accord, 2010 58
Table 23: Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Demand (Billion Barrels), 20092015 68
Table 24: Global Refining Capacity (MMTPA) by Region and Year-on-Year Growth Rate(%), 20002015 72
Table 25: Major Upcoming Refinery Projects, 20112015 73
Table 26: Key Bio-fuel Tax Credit, the US, 2010 81
Table 27: Renewable Fuel Standards (Billion Gallons Per Year), the US, 20102022 82
Table 28: Subsidy Cost ($) per metric ton of CO2 equivalent , Europe, 2010 83
Table 29: Mandatory Blending Targets, (%), Europe, 2009 84
Table 30: Global Bio-fuel Market, Deal Share by Type, 2010 85
Table 31: Bio-fuel Market, Global, Production (Billion bpd), 20052011 86
Figure 1: Global Energy Consumption (Mtoe), by Region, 20062011 10
Figure 2: Global Energy Consumption (Mtoe), by Fuel Type, 20062011 12
Figure 3: Global and Major Countries, GDP Growth Rate, %, 20082011 13
Figure 4: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure, 20062011 15
Figure 5: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Sub-Sector, 20062011 17
Figure 6: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Region, 20062011 19
Figure 7: Global Oil and Gas Capital Expenditure ($bn), by Company Type, 20062011 21
Figure 8: Projected Spread of Oil Spill on May 7,2010 25
Figure 9: The US Gulf of Mexico, Oil Reserves, Million Barrels, 20052008 30
Figure 10: Global Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 33
Figure 11: Top Ten Oil and Gas Deals, 2010, by Deal Value ($bn) 34
Figure 12: Global Upstream Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 36
Figure 13:Global Upstream Oil and Gas, Deal Value by Geography, ($bn), Q1 2008Q4 2010 38
Figure 14: Global Upstream Oil and Gas, Deal Activity by Geography, Q1 2008Q4 2010 40
Figure 15: Global Downstream Oil and Gas Deal Activity, Q1 2008Q4 2010 41
Figure 16: Global Downstream Oil and Gas, Deal Value by Geography, ($bn), Q1 2008Q4 2010 43
Figure 17: Global Downstream Oil and Gas, Deal Activity by Geography, Q1 2008Q4 2010 45
Figure 18: Global Carbon Emissions from Consumption of Energy, 2008 53
Figure 19: Global, Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Countries, Billion Tonnes, 20072025 54
Figure 20: Global, Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fuel Type, Billion Tonnes, 19902025 55
Figure 21: Global Air Pollution, Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Coal Plants, Billion Tonnes, 20082020 56
Figure 22: Global Countries Engagement Under Copenhagen Accord, 2010 57
Figure 23: Crude Oil and Petroleum Products Demand (Billion Barrels), 20092015 68
Figure 24: The US Gulf Coast, Quarterly Gross Refining Margins($/Barrel), 20062010 69
Figure 25: Global Refining Capacity (MMTPA) by Region and Year-on-Year Growth Rate(%), 20002015 71
Figure 26: Renewable Fuel Standards (Billion Gallons Per Year), the US, 20102022 82
Figure 27: Global Bio-fuel Market, Deal Share by Type, 2010 85
Figure 28: Bio-fuel Market, Global, Production (Billion bpd), 20052011 86
Figure 29: NIST Consensus Standards , Key Objectives, 2009 91